Error Type Share Chart

For Idokep, the prevalence of “positive” errors, where actual temperatures exceed forecasts, is notably higher compared to OMSZ or Weather Underground. This variation may be linked to Idokep’s emphasis on extended-range forecasts, reaching up to 15 or 30 days, in contrast to OMSZ’s limitation to 6 days, or it could be a tactical overestimation of temperatures to appeal to an audience favoring warmer weather forecasts. This theory is bolstered by Idokep’s significant web traffic, ranking within Hungary’s top 10 in 2023, whereas Weather Underground and OMSZ did not appear in the top 100. This suggests that Idokep’s forecasting approach might be influenced by a strategy to enhance viewer engagement through optimistic temperature predictions.