Weather Accuracy Chart

The accuracy chart for high temperatures reveals a consistent pattern between OMSZ and Weather Underground, with both demonstrating similar levels of precision in their forecasts. In contrast, Idokep’s high temperature predictions were notably less accurate than those of the other two providers.

This lower accuracy from Idokep could be due to its strategic decision to concentrate on longer-term forecasts, extending up to 15 or 30 days, in contrast to OMSZ’s shorter 6-day forecast range. Additionally, there is a possibility that Idokep intentionally overestimates temperatures, aiming to attract an audience that prefers optimistic weather forecasts. This theory is somewhat validated by Idokep’s popularity, as evidenced by its top 10 web traffic ranking in Hungary for 2023, a stark contrast to Weather Underground and OMSZ, which did not rank within the top 100. This discrepancy suggests that Idokep’s forecasting approach, potentially skewed towards warmer predictions, might be a factor in its appeal and resultant high viewer engagement.

Weather Accuracy Charts MAE